Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000077 0.000081 0.000085 0.000089 0.000094 0.000099
2025-02-02 0.000068 0.000073 0.000079 0.000085 0.000093 0.000101 0.000110
2025-02-09 0.000066 0.000072 0.000079 0.000087 0.000096 0.000108 0.000122
2025-02-16 0.000064 0.000071 0.000078 0.000088 0.000100 0.000114 0.000133
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000071 0.000081 0.000092 0.000107 0.000125 0.000151
2025-03-02 0.000060 0.000068 0.000078 0.000090 0.000106 0.000126 0.000154
2025-03-09 0.000057 0.000065 0.000075 0.000087 0.000104 0.000125 0.000156
2025-03-16 0.000055 0.000064 0.000074 0.000087 0.000104 0.000128 0.000163
2025-03-23 0.000055 0.000063 0.000074 0.000088 0.000108 0.000134 0.000176
2025-03-30 0.000053 0.000061 0.000072 0.000087 0.000107 0.000136 0.000180
2025-04-06 0.000050 0.000059 0.000069 0.000084 0.000104 0.000133 0.000179
2025-04-13 0.000048 0.000056 0.000066 0.000080 0.000100 0.000128 0.000173
2025-04-20 0.000045 0.000053 0.000063 0.000077 0.000096 0.000124 0.000171
2025-04-27 0.000044 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000098 0.000129 0.000182
2025-05-04 0.000044 0.000052 0.000063 0.000078 0.000101 0.000136 0.000198
2025-05-11 0.000043 0.000052 0.000063 0.000080 0.000104 0.000143 0.000215
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000053 0.000065 0.000083 0.000111 0.000156 0.000247
2025-05-25 0.000042 0.000051 0.000063 0.000081 0.000109 0.000155 0.000249
2025-06-01 0.000041 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000107 0.000153 0.000248
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000049 0.000060 0.000079 0.000107 0.000156 0.000260
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061 0.000080 0.000110 0.000164 0.000284
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000047 0.000060 0.000079 0.000110 0.000165 0.000291
2025-06-29 0.000037 0.000046 0.000058 0.000076 0.000106 0.000160 0.000285